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	<title>Boston &#187; Wandy Rodriguez</title>
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		<title>Game 41 Recap: Rangers 3, Red Sox 1</title>
		<link>http://boston.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2015/05/22/game-41-recap-rangers-3-red-sox-1/</link>
		<comments>http://boston.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2015/05/22/game-41-recap-rangers-3-red-sox-1/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 22 May 2015 12:00:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dustin Palmateer]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Articles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Game Recaps]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Clay Buchholz]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Daniel Nava]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dustin Pedroia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wandy Rodriguez]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Xander Bogaerts]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://boston.locals.baseballprospectus.com/?p=1037</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[This is beginning to feel familiar ... ]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Boston&#8217;s offensive woes continued on Thursday night, as 36-year-old lefty Wandy Rodriguez and the Rangers&#8217; bullpen held the Red Sox to a single run, spoiling a solid outing by Clay Buchholz.</p>
<p><strong>Top Play (WPA)</strong>: Perhaps surprisingly, the Red Sox recorded the top two plays by WPA &#8212; a fourth inning double by Dustin Pedroia (+.120), which set Boston up with runners on the corners and no outs, and a ninth inning leadoff double by David Ortiz (+.105).</p>
<p>Mitch Moreland provided much of the offense for the Rangers, homering over the Monster in the fourth inning (+.090) and &#8212; less menacingly &#8212; grounding out to second with the bases loaded in the first (+.076), a play which, thanks to Xander Bogaerts&#8217; error (on a double-play-transfer attempt) and Delino DeShields&#8217; combination of foot speed and smart base running, led to two runs.</p>
<p><strong>Bottom Play (WPA)</strong>: Less surprisingly, the Red Sox claimed the five biggest negative WPA plays (and nine of the bottom 10) last night, led by Hanley Ramirez&#8217;s fourth inning dribbler back to the pitcher that ended with Pedroia, who was on third, out at the plate (-.085). That&#8217;s the closest the Red Sox would come to adding a second run.</p>
<p><strong>Key Moment</strong>: In the fifth inning, the Red Sox looked like they were putting together a rally against <del>Koufax</del> Rodriguez. With one out, Bogaerts drew a walk and then, with Daniel Nava at the plate, the Red Sox executed a perfect hit-and-run, as Nava grounded one through the vacated hole at second, setting Boston up with runners on first and third. Of course, when things are going bad, sometimes they go <em>really</em> bad. Turned out the ball clanked off an unsuspecting Bogaerts on his way to second, leaving the Red Sox in a less favorable situation: a runner on first and Sandy Leon at the dish. They didn&#8217;t score.</p>
<p><strong>Trends to Watch</strong>: Good Buchholz, Bad Buchholz &#8212; meet In-Between Buchholz. The Red Sox&#8217; righty wasn&#8217;t great, but he certainly wasn&#8217;t bad, pitching into the eighth inning while surrendering three runs (two earned), striking out four, and walking two. Don&#8217;t look now, but that&#8217;s three straight quality starts for Buchholz, a feat he&#8217;s only accomplished one other time since the start of the 2014 season. It&#8217;s encouraging to see the up-and-down could-be ace, <a href="http://boston.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2015/05/21/clay-buchholzs-deceptively-strong-2015/">who still has plenty of potential</a>, fight through a start that could have got away from him early, even if allowing a two-spot in the first looks like a mountain this offense isn&#8217;t currently equipped to climb.</p>
<p>Then there&#8217;s this:</p>
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" width="550"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">10th straight time Sox have scored two or fewer earned runs against a lefthanded starter, a run that stretches to 4/20/15.</p>
<p>&mdash; Alex Speier (@alexspeier) <a href="https://twitter.com/alexspeier/status/601557804701253633">May 22, 2015</a></p></blockquote>
<p><script async src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script></p>
<p>That stretch features some good lefties, like Drew Smyly and C.C. Sabathia, but also a number of less inspiring hurlers. Here&#8217;s the list, which includes each pitcher&#8217;s PECOTA-projected ERA:</p>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td width="43">Date</td>
<td width="125">Pitcher</td>
<td width="90">PECOTA ERA</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="43">4/20</td>
<td width="125">Wei-Yin Chen</td>
<td width="90">3.87</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="43">4/25</td>
<td width="125">Wei-Yin Chen</td>
<td width="90">3.87</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="43">5/1</td>
<td width="125">C.C. Sabathia</td>
<td width="90">3.68</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="43">5/5</td>
<td width="125">Drew Smyly</td>
<td width="90">3.23</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="43">5/11</td>
<td width="125">Scott Kazmir</td>
<td width="90">4.16</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="43">5/12</td>
<td width="125">Drew Pomeranz</td>
<td width="90">3.80</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="43">5/14</td>
<td width="125">Roenis Elias</td>
<td width="90">4.01</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="43">5/15</td>
<td width="125">J.A. Happ</td>
<td width="90">4.31</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="43">5/17</td>
<td width="125">James Paxton</td>
<td width="90">3.61</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="43">5/21</td>
<td width="125">Wandy Rodriguez</td>
<td width="90">4.59</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>What&#8217;s somewhat befuddling about the struggles against lefties is that the Red Sox don&#8217;t have an extreme lefty-swinging offense. Sure, there&#8217;s Ortiz (and he&#8217;s struggled mightily vs. lefties) and Sandoval is far superior against righties, but most of the lineup &#8212; Mookie Betts, Pedroia, Ramirez, Mike Napoli, Bogaerts, etc. &#8212; bats from the right side. Those righties, however, haven&#8217;t taken advantage of the platoon advantage, <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/teams/split.cgi?t=b&amp;team=BOS&amp;year=2015">hitting just .206/.310/.361 against lefties</a> this season. And the lefties (mostly Ortiz), well, they&#8217;ve <em>really</em> struggled versus same-handed pitching, posting a cringe-worthy .446 OPS. The good news: those are both small samples, and there&#8217;s no reason why the Sox shouldn&#8217;t improve against left handers as the season progresses.</p>
<p><strong>Coming Next</strong>: Speaking of lefties, Boston will face a pair this weekend (C.J. Wilson and Hector Santiago), with the Angels set to visit Fenway for a three-game set. On Friday night, however, it&#8217;s an all right-handed affair, as Rick Porcello faces off against Garrett Richards. Hopefully the Red Sox are able to find their offensive stride against the Angels before they head out for a seven-game road trip to Minnesota and Texas.</p>
<p>Photo by Winslow Townson/USA Today Sports Images</p>
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