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	<title>Boston &#187; Dayan Diaz</title>
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		<title>Fenway&#8217;s Future: The Best (and Worst) Red Sox Prospect Performances of 2015</title>
		<link>http://boston.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2015/09/09/fenways-future-the-best-and-worst-red-sox-prospect-performances-of-2015/</link>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 09 Sep 2015 14:00:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Nick Canelas]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Articles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fenway's Future]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Aaron Wilkerson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Brian Johnson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dayan Diaz]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Deven Marrero]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Garin Cecchini]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Javier Guerra]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jorge Marban]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Manuel Margot]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Marco Hernandez]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Michael Chavis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Michael Kopech]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rafael Devers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sam Travis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trey Ball]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ty Buttrey]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wendell Rijo]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://boston.locals.baseballprospectus.com/?p=2359</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Recounting Boston's best and worst prospect performers from a tumultuous 2015 season. ]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><span style="font-weight: 400">Welcome to this year’s final edition of Fenway’s Future. With the MiLB regular season in the books, we recap how the Red Sox’s farm system performed in 2015, highlighting the best position players and pitchers, biggest surprises and most disappointing players from each level of the organization.</span></p>
<p><b>Triple-A Pawtucket</b></p>
<p><b>Player of the year: </b><i><span style="font-weight: 400">Deven Marrero, INF </span></i><span style="font-weight: 400">— This selection is telling of the kind of year it was in Pawtucket. The team’s lineup this season consisted primarily of major league castoffs such as Allen Craig and Jackie Bradley Jr., and then there was Marrero trying to earn his first big league callup. Although his numbers weren’t impressive — a .250 true average and .309 wOBA in Triple-A isn’t exactly major league-caliber — the 2012 first-round pick did enough to earn multiple opportunities with the Red Sox this season and should see more as we get deeper into September. Marrero was at his best at the plate toward the end of the season, hitting .306 over his final 24 minor league games, and by playing shortstop, third and second base continued to show the kind of defensive versatility that’s invaluable to a big league club.</span></p>
<p><b>Pitcher of the year: </b><i><span style="font-weight: 400">Brian Johnson, LHP </span></i><span style="font-weight: 400">— This distinction could’ve just as easily gone to Henry Owens. However, Johnson’s season-long consistency stood out in 2015. The 24-year-old made 18 starts in Triple-A, posting a 3.22 FIP and 8.44 K/9 while giving up more than two runs in just four of those starts. The highlight of Johnson’s year came May 29 when he tossed six perfect innings and struck out a season-high nine batters. He did get one forgettable spot start with Boston in July before returning to Triple-A, but the lefty’s season ended abruptly Aug. 2 when he experienced elbow tightness in the fourth inning of what would be his final start of the year. The Red Sox shut Johnson down soon after. Although there was </span><a href="http://www.masslive.com/redsox/index.ssf/2015/08/boston_red_sox_lhp_brian_johns_2.html"><span style="font-weight: 400">no ligament damage found</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400">, it’s unclear what kind of impact the injury will have on him going into next season.</span></p>
<p style="text-align: center"><iframe src="http://m.mlb.com/shared/video/embed/embed.html?content_id=278221483&amp;topic_id=26271672&amp;width=400&amp;height=224&amp;property=mlb" width="400" height="224" frameborder="0" ></iframe></p>
<p><b>Biggest surprise:</b> <i><span style="font-weight: 400">Dayan Diaz, RHP </span></i><span style="font-weight: 400">—</span> <span style="font-weight: 400">Diaz’s major league dream seemed all but over after an ugly 2013 season in the Cubs organization. But his two years in the Sox’s system have revitalized his career, with this season being his most impressive yet. The righty posted a 1.94 ERA and 7.76 K/9 in 27 appearances out of the bullpen for Pawtucket, using his hard fastball to overpower hitters and a late-breaking slider to keep them off-balance. The 26-year-old’s performance this season propelled his stock within the system and could make him a viable candidate for a spot in next season’s Red Sox bullpen. Diaz’s command starts to fade as he pitches later into games, but he has the type of stuff to be a serviceable back-end arm out of the bullpen.</span></p>
<p><b>Biggest disappointment: </b><i><span style="font-weight: 400">Garin Cecchini, 3B/1B/OF </span></i><span style="font-weight: 400">—</span> <span style="font-weight: 400">Unfortunately for Cecchini, this was an easy choice to make. One year after making his major league debut, Cecchini endured the worst season of his professional career, finishing with a .209 TAv and a 21.3 percent strikeout rate. He did show signs of a turnaround at the plate in August and eventually earned a brief callup to the big leagues again, but the overall product was ugly, especially after a brutal first two-plus months of the season. Cecchini dabbled with left field this season along with his primary spot at third base, but that was about all he did well in 2015. At 24, Cecchini still has time to turn his career back around, but there’s no doubt this year was a major setback.</span></p>
<p><b>Double-A Portland</b></p>
<p><b>Player of the year: </b><i><span style="font-weight: 400">Sam Travis, 1B </span></i><span style="font-weight: 400">— Travis’ 2015 got off to an impressive start in High-A Salem, and he hardly slowed down when he was promoted to Portland in late June. The first baseman played 65 games in Portland, sporting a .297 TAv and .376 wOBA, and improving his BB% to 11.7 percent. Travis didn’t take long to adjust Double-A. He struggled over the first week, but hit .318 from July 2 onward, proving his rapid ascension through the system is no fluke. Travis was drafted in the second round out of Indiana in 2014 and has been impressive in his professional career to this point. If Travis can continue to hit at this rate and improve his power, there’s no reason to think he can’t — at 22 — earn a promotion to Triple-A at some point next season.</span></p>
<p><b>Pitcher of the year: </b><i><span style="font-weight: 400">Jorge Marban, RHP </span></i><span style="font-weight: 400">— Pat Light may be the bigger name with greater potential, but Marban’s Double-A numbers were much more impressive over more innings of work. The 26-year-old wasted no time proving he belongs in the Red Sox’s organization after pitching in the Independent League and in Australia from 2012 through 2014. Marban made eight appearances for High-A Salem before being promoted to Portland, where he posted a 1.36 ERA and 3.78 FIP in 24 relief appearances. Those efforts earned him a callup to Triple-A in mid-August and have him on his way to a shot at the big leagues.</span></p>
<p><b>Biggest surprise:</b> <i><span style="font-weight: 400">Marco Hernandez, INF </span></i><span style="font-weight: 400">— Hernandez was nothing more than compensation for dumping Felix Doubront off to the Cubs. Expectations were never high for the 23-year-old shortstop, but boy has he shattered those bestowed upon him. Hernandez boasted a .290 TAv, .375 wOBA and led the team in OPS (.832). Meanwhile, he was an everyday shortstop in a farm system loaded with talented infielders. By mid-July, Hernandez was playing in Triple-A Pawtucket, where he’s yet to match his Double-A production offensively. Hernandez has still been solid defensively, however. He’s seen time at second and third base in Pawtucket and has increased his utility potential.</span></p>
<p><b>Biggest disappointment: </b><i><span style="font-weight: 400">Manuel Margot, OF </span></i><span style="font-weight: 400">— It may be unfair to judge a 20-year-old for poor production in Double-A, but given the expectations and where Margot </span><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=25119"><span style="font-weight: 400">ranks among prospects within the organization</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400">, it’s still a disappointment. The fact that he was even promoted from High-A in June was surprising enough. He posted a respectable .273 TAv with Salem, but certainly didn’t seem ready for bigger challenges. Things, of course, only got worse in Portland as he finished the season with a .268 TAv while his K% ballooned to 12.8 percent over 63 games. The good news is he finished the season strong, batting .325 (29-for-89) over the final 22 games, so his status as a top-flight prospect is safely intact.</span></p>
<p style="text-align: center"><iframe src="http://m.mlb.com/shared/video/embed/embed.html?content_id=37184819&amp;topic_id=26271672&amp;width=400&amp;height=224&amp;property=mlb" width="400" height="224" frameborder="0" ></iframe></p>
<p><b>High-A Salem</b></p>
<p><b>Player of the year: </b><i><span style="font-weight: 400">Wendell Rijo, 2B </span></i><span style="font-weight: 400">— Rijo powered his way into this spot with a strong finish to 2015. The 20-year-old second baseman hit .283 after Aug. 3 to raise his TAv to .264 for the season and make his case for a promotion by some point next year. Rijo isn’t a standout prospect, but he’s young and has plenty of room to grow. One thing that could help Rijo going forward is limiting his strikeouts. He sported a .321 BABIP this season, but also struck out at a 20.7 percent rate. If he can make more consistent contact and improve his plate discipline the rest of his numbers should go up as well. But that’s just one criticism. Overall, there’s much like about Rijo and this season was a step in the right direction.</span></p>
<p><b>Pitcher of the year: </b><i><span style="font-weight: 400">Ty Buttrey, RHP </span></i><span style="font-weight: 400">— This was an important season for Buttrey. The righty was signed to a $1 million overslot deal after being drafted in the fourth round in 2012, but had yet to live up to the promise that came with it. Buttrey, at 22 years old, finally changed that in 2015. He made four dominant starts in Low-A Greenville before being promoted to High-A, and continued to pitch well, finishing with a 3.71 FIP over 21 starts in Salem. One slight on Buttrey heading into the season was that he had yet to fill into his 6-foot-6 frame. He wasn’t exactly overpowering hitters this season — his 6.30 K/9 was down from previous seasons — but his command improved and his walks decreased.</span></p>
<p><b>Biggest surprise: </b><i><span style="font-weight: 400">Aaron Wilkerson, RHP </span></i><span style="font-weight: 400">— Wilkerson is 26 years old and threw his first minor league pitch in 2014, yet he’s quickly become a player worth watching over the coming years. He was signed by the Red Sox out of the independent leagues during the 2014 season. Since then he’s shown the kind of command and strikeout ability that could one day turn him into a major league reliever. The righty started this year in Low-A Greenville, but after five appearances was promoted to Salem and shined, sporting a 1.90 FIP and 9.68 K/P over 17 appearances, 12 of which were starts. He was at his best in May when he posted a 0.71 ERA in 25.1 innings in which he allowed just 11 hits and six walks. Performances such as that earned him a promotion to Double-A Portland in August. He finished with a 2.58 FIP over seven starts.</span></p>
<p><b>Biggest disappointment: </b><i><span style="font-weight: 400">Trey Ball, LHP </span></i><span style="font-weight: 400">— It’s too early to judge Ball as a 21-year-old prospect, especially after just two full seasons as a pro. But Red Sox’s fans concerns over the 2013 seventh overall pick’s performance thus far are justified. Ball’s struggles in 2014 were well-documented. This season was actually worse. Ball owned a 5.13 FIP over 25 starts, and saw an increase in walks and decrease in strikeouts compared to 2014. And unlike last year, he didn’t get better as the season progressed. Ball was solid in his final outing of the season, allowing two runs and striking out six over five innings. However, he posted a 10.80 ERA in his six starts prior. The lefty still has time to fill out his lanky 6-foot-6 frame and further develop his secondary pitches, particularly his curveball, which he started throwing as a junior in high school, but he has much to prove going into next season.</span></p>
<p style="text-align: center"><iframe src="http://m.mlb.com/shared/video/embed/embed.html?content_id=48855283&amp;topic_id=26271672&amp;width=400&amp;height=224&amp;property=mlb" width="400" height="224" frameborder="0" ></iframe></p>
<p><b>Low-A Greenville</b></p>
<p><b>Player of the year: </b><i><span style="font-weight: 400">Rafael Devers, 3B </span></i><span style="font-weight: 400">— Watching Devers, at 18 years old, blossom into one of the top prospects in the Red Sox’s organization was fun. The third baseman made a name for himself after a scalding hot start to the season in which he hit .382 through June 1. Since then his stock has risen. He </span><a href="http://boston.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2015/05/21/rafael-devers-is-delivering-on-his-promise/"><span style="font-weight: 400">garnered much attention on the interwebs</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400"> and even </span><a href="http://fantasynews.cbssports.com/fantasybaseball/update/25205017/red-sox-prospect-rafael-devers-drawing-robinson-cano-comparisons"><span style="font-weight: 400">drew comparisons to Robinson Cano</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400"> — not bad company at such a young age. Devers eventually leveled out, finishing with a .282 TAv and .352 wOBA, and struck out at a 16.5 percent rate, but there’s no denying his potential. His solid build, fluid swing and plus power make for a nice offensive player. He his a defensive liability, so perhaps a move to first base or to a full-time DH role is in his future.</span></p>
<p><b>Pitcher of the year: </b><i><span style="font-weight: 400">Michael Kopech, RHP </span></i><span style="font-weight: 400">— Kopech’s season was cut short due to a </span><a href="http://www.overthemonster.com/2015/7/16/8981623/red-sox-prospect-michael-kopech-suspended-50-games"><span style="font-weight: 400">50-game suspension</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400"> for illegal use of a stimulant, but it was an exceptional year for the 19-year-old nonetheless. The 2014 first-round pick showed overpowering stuff that could one day put him atop a major league rotation, posting a 9.69 K/9 to go with a 3.34 FIP over 15 starts. He allowed just two total runs over 15 innings in the three starts before his suspension, and gave up no more than three runs — a number he reached in just three outings — in all of his starts. Losing Kopech for the final 50 games was a disappointment for Greenville, but shouldn’t be a setback for the righty as he tries to make quick work of the minor leagues.</span></p>
<p style="text-align: center"><iframe src="http://m.mlb.com/shared/video/embed/embed.html?content_id=48854883&amp;topic_id=26271672&amp;width=400&amp;height=224&amp;property=mlb" width="400" height="224" frameborder="0" ></iframe></p>
<p><b>Biggest surprise: </b><i><span style="font-weight: 400">Javier Guerra, SS </span></i><span style="font-weight: 400">— Guerra entered the season as a mid-tier Red Sox prospect, but his value rose considerably after an impressive 2015. It was well-established that Guerra is an outstanding shortstop with good range, instincts and plus arm strength. But his bat was supposed to be his downfall. Well, turns out he can hit, too. Guerra far exceeded offensive expectations both from an average and power standpoint, posting a .280 TAv to go with 15 home runs and a .171 ISO. Guerra’s power numbers stood out the most given he’s still undersized. And at 19 years old, he’s bound to add more strength.</span></p>
<p><strong><b>Biggest disappointment: </b><i><span style="font-weight: 400">Michael Chavis, 3B </span></i><span style="font-weight: 400">— It was a rough first year for Chavis, the team’s top pick in 2014. He struggled both in the field and at the plate this season. But especially at the plate. Chavis held a .244 TAv and struck out at an absurd 30.6 percent rate — </span><i><span style="font-weight: 400">30.6 percent!!! </span></i><span style="font-weight: 400">— the latter being by far the most alarming. It’s something that needs to change in the coming years. He did hit 16 home runs and finished with a .182 ISO, but that swing-for-the-fences approach hindered his overall production. Chavis needs to shorten his swing and take more of a line-drive approach in order to improve his baffling average and strikeout numbers.</span></strong></p>
<p><em>Top photo by Kelly O&#8217;Connor/<a href="www.sittingstill.smugmug.com">www.sittingstill.smugmug.com</a></em></p>
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		<title>6 (Mildly) Intriguing Potential Red Sox September Call-Ups</title>
		<link>http://boston.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2015/09/03/6-mildly-intriguing-potential-red-sox-september-call-ups/</link>
		<comments>http://boston.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2015/09/03/6-mildly-intriguing-potential-red-sox-september-call-ups/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 03 Sep 2015 12:00:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Matt Collins]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Articles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Allen Craig]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dayan Diaz]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Deven Marrero]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Garin Cecchini]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jorge Marban]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pat Light]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://boston.locals.baseballprospectus.com/?p=2288</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[There may not be any additional elite talent coming to Boston this September, but there are some interesting names to watch for nonetheless. ]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><span style="font-weight: 400">One of the silver linings of the last month of the year for bad teams is the hope that comes with September call-ups. Unfortunately for the 2015 Red Sox, there aren&#8217;t a lot of exciting prospects that will be making their debuts this month. Of course, part of this is because so many of their top young talents have already debuted. We’ll still be able to watch guys like Eduardo Rodriguez, Henry Owens, Blake Swihart, Mookie Betts, Xander Bogaerts and Jackie Bradley Jr.: it just won’t be during their debuts. The next wave of talent is still far off, with Manuel Margot at Double-A being the closest prospect to the majors at this point. With all of that said, Boston will still take advantage of their extra roster spots. Even if they’re not top prospects, there are still a few interesting names that will be brought up this month, or have already been called up.</span></p>
<p><b>Allen Craig</b></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400">Here we have someone who is definitely not a prospect, but is far and away the most interesting player who&#8217;s up with the Red Sox this September. Craig was half of the return from the disastrous John Lackey trade, and played so poorly after coming to Boston that he was sent to Triple-A Pawtucket after just four months with the team. He racked up 166 plate appearances between the end of the 2014 and the start of 2015 and he managed a microscopic .427 OPS in that time. Four qualified batters have a higher </span><i><span style="font-weight: 400">OBP </span></i><span style="font-weight: 400">than that this season. So, yeah, he’s been pretty bad.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400">To make matters worse, he didn&#8217;t exactly light the world on fire in Triple-A. Although his .274/.368/.350 looks solid enough on the surface, it is mostly terrible with context. Crag is a 30-year-old former All-Star who’s received MVP votes in two different seasons. For a guy with a career .160 ISO with two seasons of .200+ ISO’s under his belt, that lack of power against Triple-A pitchers is disconcerting. His plate approach becomes far less impressive when you recognize the competition he’s been facing.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400">This may be Craig’s last chance to show </span><i><span style="font-weight: 400">anything </span></i><span style="font-weight: 400">with the Red Sox, and it’s not even clear how much of a chance he’ll get. The outfield is full at the moment. First base is also full, with Hanley Ramirez transitioning there soon and Travis Shaw earning consistent playing time. With that being said, Boston will make sure that Craig gets his time, because they need to know if he made any strides in the minors. While he&#8217;s not an exciting September call-up in the traditional sense, he may be playing for his career, and that’s certainly worth watching.</span></p>
<p><b>Garin Cecchini</b></p>
<div id="attachment_935" style="width: 310px" class="wp-caption alignright"><a href="http://boston.locals.baseballprospectus.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/4/2015/05/Garin-Cecchini-2.jpg"><img class="size-medium wp-image-935" src="http://boston.locals.baseballprospectus.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/4/2015/05/Garin-Cecchini-2-300x157.jpg" alt="Garin Cecchini" width="300" height="157" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Photo by Kelly O&#8217;Connor/<a href="www.sittingstill.smugmug.com">www.sittingstill.smugmug.com</a></p></div>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400">If there were such thing as a minor-league version of Craig, Cecchini may be that guy. He soared through the minors earning accolades from all over for his tremendous hit tool. While his defense was never his strong suit, it was passable. He looked like a guy who would hit for high averages while drawing plenty of walks, a profile that had many drooling despite a relative lack of power. Over the last couple of years, though, his stock has dropped precipitously and now it’s not clear that he’ll even have a major-league career. He’s had a miserable season in Pawtucket, and it’s no sure thing that he’ll even get the call this month. He’s 24 years old and the time is ticking for him to make good on his promise. The Red Sox have a busy offseason ahead, and Cecchini could serve as a throw-in in some major trade. Boston may be smart to give teams a chance to see him more consistently against major-league pitching.</span></p>
<p><b>Deven Marrero</b></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400">Although he was drafted just three years ago, the former first-round pick is already 25 and on the verge of being a major-league player. Even if he’s just a utility player, he’s good enough defensively to carve out a role at the highest level. The bat is far behind the glove, but like Cecchini, Marrero could serve as a minor piece in a major deal this winter. When teams don’t have the top prospects to call up this month, this next best thing is to have pieces to showcase for trades. Marrero will give them a chance to give Bogaerts some rest down the stretch. Even if he doesn’t showcase himself well enough for a trade, it will be exciting enough to watch him play shortstop.</span></p>
<p><b>Pat Light</b></p>
<div id="attachment_697" style="width: 310px" class="wp-caption alignright"><a href="http://boston.locals.baseballprospectus.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/4/2015/05/Pat-Light.jpg"><img class="size-medium wp-image-697" src="http://boston.locals.baseballprospectus.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/4/2015/05/Pat-Light-300x154.jpg" alt="Pat Light" width="300" height="154" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Photo by Kelly O&#8217;Connor/<a href="www.sittingstill.smugmug.com">www.sittingstill.smugmug.com</a></p></div>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400">Everyone who writes or talks about the Red Sox has one opinion in common: Boston’s bullpen flat-out stinks. As such, any semblance of help from the farm in this area would be nice to see in September. For the most part we’ll be seeing familiar faces coming up from Pawtucket from the Jonathan Aro, Noe Ramirez, Heath Hembree and Edwin Escobar group. However, there are some other names who have a chance at seeing some time this year, and Light is the headliner of this group. A former starting pitcher, he’s taken a huge leap this year since transitioning to the bullpen. He’s now striking out more than a batter per inning between Double-A and Triple-A, pumping his velocity up to the high-90’s. Dave Dombrowski has a lot of work to do with this relief corps, so it would behoove him to see if any of his young arms can contribute in a meaningful way next year. In that case, Light is the number one name he has to get some eyes on.</span></p>
<p><b>Dayan Diaz/Jorge Marban</b></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400">For the last names, we turn once again to the bullpen. I group Diaz and Marban together because neither is likely to play the type of major role that Light has the potential to play, but either one could carve out a smaller role for himself in 2016. Diaz likely has the best chance of the two. At 26, he’s been in the organization for two years now, and has moved up relatively quickly. As a fastball-first pitcher, he’s been able to rack up the strikeouts in the minors, but his command and control have been issues. He’s been better in shorter outings, however, and he’s been outstanding in Pawtucket this season. Next year, he could solidify the role that was occupied by a revolving door of Hembree, Aro and Ramirez this season.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400">Marban is a much newer name than Diaz, as he was plucked from Independent League ball prior to this season. He’s had a meteoric rise through the system, starting the year in Salem before ending up in Pawtucket by season’s end. Although his strikeout numbers won’t blow you away, they’re high enough to get by, and his control has helped him put up great numbers. His ceiling isn’t on Light’s or Diaz’s level, but he’s done enough to earn a chance in a bullpen that is full of subpar arms.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400">For a bad team, the Red Sox are severely lacking in intriguing September call-ups, but that doesn’t mean they don’t exist. Craig may be playing for his career. Cecchini and Marrero could showcase themselves as lower-end pieces in trades coming this offseason. Light, Diaz and Marban could earn themselves a role in the uncertain 2016 bullpen. The most interesting players to watch this month have already been on the roster, but the newcomers will be worth your time as well.</span></p>
<p><em>Photo by Nick Tuchiaro/USA Today Sports Images</em></p>
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		<title>Fenway&#8217;s Future: Justin Haley, Tzu-Wei Lin and More</title>
		<link>http://boston.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2015/07/08/fenways-future-justin-haley-tzu-wei-lin-and-more/</link>
		<comments>http://boston.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2015/07/08/fenways-future-justin-haley-tzu-wei-lin-and-more/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 08 Jul 2015 11:30:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Nick Canelas]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Articles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fenway's Future]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bryan Hudson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dayan Diaz]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Joseph Monge]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Justin Haley]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mike Miller]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tzu-Wei Lin]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://boston.locals.baseballprospectus.com/?p=1649</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Taking a look at some of the lesser-known prospects in Boston's system. ]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Welcome back to Fenway’s Future. This week we look at Justin Haley’s turnaround on the mound, Joseph Monge’s recent surge in Low-A Greenville and the performance of some lower-profile players at the halfway point of the season.</p>
<p><b>Triple-A Pawtucket: </b><i>Dayan Diaz, RHP and Mike Miller, 2B/SS</i></p>
<p>When the Red Sox signed Dayan Diaz to a minor league contract after the 2013 season, they were acquiring a pitcher seemingly on a downward movement toward irrelevance. The right-hander out of Colombia had been hit hard in the Cubs system, and with a limited arsenal of pitches appeared destined for a minor league career of being knocked around out of the bullpen. Diaz has found new life in a season and a half in the Red Sox organization, recently becoming one of Pawtucket’s most reliable relievers. On Sunday, the 25-year-old tossed his sixth-straight scoreless appearance, tossing 12.1 combined innings and dropping his ERA to 2.57 in 13 Triple-A outings.</p>
<p>At 5-foot-10, 190 pounds, Diaz is relatively undersized, but possesses a hard fastball that sits in the mid-90s and a plus slider with good break and swing-and-miss ability. Although he’s been used sparingly out of the bullpen, Diaz has been good for two-to-three innings most appearances. While his current scoreless streak is impressive, Diaz is still prone to allowing multiple baserunners an outing, forcing him to escape difficult situations. Given his 86.6 percent LOB%, he usually succeeds. However, Diaz has surrendered at least one hit in each of his Triple-A appearances, and his 3.64 FIP – significantly less notable than his ERA – suggests this current run he’s on may not be something he can withstand, even if there’s still good potential.</p>
<p>Mike Miller struggled mightily at the plate since being promoted to Pawtucket in late May. Really, it’s been a tough 2015 offensively for Miller overall. The 25-year-old had a rare productive holiday weekend, collecting three hits over two games, including a triple on Sunday, and scoring two runs. It was only the fourth time since June that Miller – a 2012 ninth-round pick out of Cal Poly – has collected hits in consecutive games, this after starting out hot upon his promotion. Given the abundance of depth and talent at the middle infield spots throughout the Sox organization, Miller would need to be outstanding to have a shot at sniffing the major leagues. He’s certainly been dependable with his glove, totaling just one error in a combined 34 games between second base and shortstop. However, with a .203 true average and an underwhelming 5-foot-9, 170-pound frame, he hasn’t done enough offensively since a solid 2014, or flashed enough potential, to convince anyone he’s primed to make a difference in the near future.</p>
<p><b>Double-A Portland: </b><i>Justin Haley, RHP</i></p>
<p>If anyone can speak to a rough 2015 season, it’s Justin Haley. The righty has had a miserable year after six strong starts in Portland last season, owning a 4.01 FIP through 16 starts this season and making three to four earned runs, walks and many more hits a regular occurrence. The 2012 sixth-round pick out of Fresno State has seen his strikeouts go down and his walks increase, and he’s often struggled to make it through five innings. At 24 years old, Haley is a tall, strong pitcher, but is limited to a solid, low-to-mid 90s fastball, an average changeup and the occasional breaking ball that’s produced unspectacular results.</p>
<p>Despite the season-long struggles, Haley is pitching the best he has all season. He threw a five-hit shutout Sunday, going six innings and striking out six in a PawSox win. It’s the third time in his last four starts Haley has pitched a shutout and lasted six innings, and could be the start of a nice turnaround. Like most pitchers, Haley is at his best when he’s piling up strikeouts and limiting walks. That&#8217;s something he’s done effectively as of late, as he’s struck out 17 and walked four over his last three starts. Nonetheless, although he’s been a starter throughout his career, and has done it well lately, Haley seems better fit to pitch out of the bullpen long-term. He tails off as he gets later into games and his secondary stuff isn’t effective enough to last him as a regular rotation arm.</p>
<div id="attachment_1662" style="width: 310px" class="wp-caption alignright"><a href="http://boston.locals.baseballprospectus.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/4/2015/07/Lin.jpg"><img class="size-medium wp-image-1662" src="http://boston.locals.baseballprospectus.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/4/2015/07/Lin-300x240.jpg" alt="Photo by Kelly O'Connor/www.sittingstill.smugmug.com" width="300" height="240" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text"><em>Photo by Kelly O&#8217;Connor/<a href="www.sittingstill.smugmug.com">www.sittingstill.smugmug.com</a></em></p></div>
<p><b>High-A Salem: </b><i>Tzu-Wei Lin, SS</i></p>
<p>With Mauricio Dubon being promoted to High-A and Jose Vinicio still playing well, finding regular playing time for Tzu-Wei Lin will become increasingly harder. Lin is a speedy, defensive-minded shortstop whose big-league journey will go as far as his glove will take him. However, despite fringe-average contact potential, Lin is using his bat to remain a regular in the Salem lineup. The 21-year-old Taiwan native holds a .261 TAv and .334 wOBA this season, and has been especially hot of late. Lin was on a seven-game hitting streak before being held hitless Saturday, going 13-for-27 (.481) in that span. He’s making more solid contact and has seen his strikeouts drop significantly in the last two years, making the case that he could be just as effective at the plate as with his glove. His offensive numbers have actually increased with each promotion thus far.</p>
<p><b>Low-A Greenville: </b><i>Joseph Monge, OF and Bryan Hudson, OF</i></p>
<p>Joseph Monge is coming off one of his strongest weeks of the season, one in which he went 10-for-21 at the plate capped off by a four-hit day on Sunday. It was an important stretch for the skinny outfielder from Puerto Rico. Monge has spent his first three years in the Red Sox organization struggling to find consistency at the plate. He’s an athletic player with good range in the outfield, but has been held back by high strikeout numbers and a lack of overall strength. Monge’s a solid contact hitter, but making contact is still an important part of the process. This season his K% sits at 22.4 percent to go with a .258 TAv. Monge has made progress as the season’s progressed, something that’ll be necessary for the 2013 17th-round pick to ascend in the organization. Perhaps last week was the start of Monge finally discovering that consistency.</p>
<p>It took just six games in Lowell for Bryan Hudson to get the call to Low-A Greenville. The 20-year-old started the season hot at the plate and hasn’t slowed down since. He’s collected hits in all but two of his nine games in Greenville, and rode a five-game hitting streak into Tuesday after consecutive multi-hit games. A 2015 fifth-round pick, Hudson isn’t particularly big and imposing, but he has plus speed and finds the gaps effectively. He owns .325 batting average and .406 BABIP, but with an underwhelming .271 TAv despite his success he may be due for a drop-off. What is clear is that Hudson’s defense still has a long way to go. While his speed is an asset, Hudson needs to improve on his reads in the outfield and is lacking in arm strength.</p>
<p><em>Photos by Kelly O&#8217;Connor/<a href="www.sittingstill.smugmug.com">www.sittingstill.smugmug.com</a></em></p>
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