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	<title>Boston &#187; Logan Allen</title>
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		<title>Checking In On Six Former Red Sox</title>
		<link>http://boston.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2016/06/27/checking-in-on-six-former-red-sox/</link>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 27 Jun 2016 13:14:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Nick Canelas]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Articles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Carlos Asuaje]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Javier Guerra]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jonathan Aro]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Justin Masterson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Logan Allen]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Manuel Margot]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wade Miley]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://boston.locals.baseballprospectus.com/?p=5012</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Red Sox parted ways with six members of their organization via trades last winter. How are said traded players faring in their new homes?]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><span style="font-weight: 400">This will be my last byline in June 2016. That means the midway point of the season is inching closer. We still don’t know what kind of team the Red Sox are, but by now we know who’s been good, who’s been bad and what needs to change in the second half if they are to remain competitive.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400">Regardless of how you view this season thus far, it’s still a big improvement from last year. Some of those first-half successes can be attributed to changes made in the offseason, such as signing David Price and Chris Young and trading for Craig Kimbrel (sorry, Carson Smith). But those changes, particularly the trades, also required parting ways with some notable players. Yes, the Red Sox acquired talent, but gone are promising prospects such as Manuel Margot and Javier Guerra, as well as complementary pieces like starting pitcher Wade Miley.</span></p>
<p>We’ve seen how these moves have worked for the Red Sox, but what about the teams on the other side of the deals? What kind of contributions have the likes Margot, Guerra and Miley made to their new clubs, and what does it mean for those players going forward?</p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400">Let’s start with the Kimbrel deal. The Sox sent Margot, Guerra, Carlos Asuaje and Logan Allen to San Diego for the four-time All-Star closer. Kimbrel, as I </span><a href="http://boston.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2016/06/20/craig-kimbrels-quiet-dominance/"><span style="font-weight: 400">wrote last week</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400">, has become the player the Red Sox were hoping to get. The Padres may be a mess, but they aren’t missing Kimbrel, either. Fernando Rodney owns a </span>0.31 ERA and 2.32 <span style="font-weight: 400">FIP, and San Diego’s newcomers have shown good potential in the minor leagues. </span></p>
<h2><span style="font-weight: 400">Manuel Margot</span></h2>
<p><b>2015: </b><span style="font-weight: 400">.270 TAv, .147 ISO and 1.1 WARP in 64 games with Double-A Portland; .273 TAv, .138 ISO and 1.7 WARP with High-A Salem</span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400">Last season was good, but not great for Margot. This year he’s looked more like the player that made him one of the top prospects in the Red Sox’s organization. He’s spent the entire season with Triple-A El Paso, and has been the leadoff hitter and starting center fielder most of the way. He’s also putting up some of the best numbers of his young MiLB career. Margot is slashing .299/.352/.419</span> <span style="font-weight: 400">with a .274</span> <span style="font-weight: 400">TAv., while his speed (21</span> <span style="font-weight: 400">stolen bases) and defense (14.9</span> <span style="font-weight: 400">FRAA) continue to be strengths. BP’s Mark Anderson put his MLB ETA at 2017 in his </span><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/prospects/eyewitness_bat.php?reportid=68"><span style="font-weight: 400">scouting report three years ago</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400">. With the Padres out of contention, the 21-year-old Margot may get his chance as early as this September. </span></p>
<h2><span style="font-weight: 400">Carlos Asuaje</span></h2>
<p><b>2015: </b><span style="font-weight: 400">.259 TAv, .123 ISO and -0.6 WARP in 131 games with Double-A Portland</span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400">Asuaje didn’t look like a major piece in the Kimbrel deal at the time. He projected as nothing more than a major-league utility player, and his numbers in Portland last year proved just that. Asuaje, however, has found new life in a new system, posting a .296</span> <span style="font-weight: 400">TAv and 1.3</span> <span style="font-weight: 400">WARP in El Paso thus far. He also has 25</span> <span style="font-weight: 400">extra-base hits, including a Pacific Coast League-high seven</span> <span style="font-weight: 400">triples, matching his total from last season. Asuaje’s 2016 numbers are a throwback to his 2014 campaign split between Low-A Greenville and High-A Salem, when he combined for a 5.2 WARP that year. Now he’s starting to see his major-league potential manifest itself in his first crack at Triple-A. Perhaps he’s not far from his big-league debut either. </span></p>
<h2><span style="font-weight: 400">Javier Guerra</span></h2>
<p><b>2015: </b><span style="font-weight: 400">.280 TAv, .171 ISO and 4.0 WARP in 116 games with Low-A Greenville</span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400">Guerra put all scouting reports to shame with his offensive production in Greenville last season. As </span><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/prospects/eyewitness_bat.php?reportid=315"><span style="font-weight: 400">BP’s Wilson Karaman wrote</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400">, Guerra is a premier defensive shortstop with a little pop in his bat, but at 20 years old his approach at the plate is still raw. That’s the player he’s been this season. He owns an underwhelming .245</span> <span style="font-weight: 400">TAv in High-A Lake Elsinore, but does have a 9.9</span> <span style="font-weight: 400">FRAA. Guerra hasn’t shown quite as much power, however, as he has just eight</span> <span style="font-weight: 400">homers in 282</span> <span style="font-weight: 400">plate appearances and a .139</span> <span style="font-weight: 400">ISO, but it’s still a potential strength of his. </span></p>
<h2><span style="font-weight: 400">Logan Allen</span></h2>
<p><b>2015: </b><span style="font-weight: 400">0.90 ERA, 1.05 FIP and 10.8 K/9 in seven starts in rookie ball; made one start in Class-A Lowell</span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400">The Red Sox drafted Allen in the eighth round last June, so there’s little to compare what he’s done thus far to. What we do know is that the 18-year-old is off to a decent start, posting a </span>3.07<b> </b><span style="font-weight: 400">ERA, 2.96</span> <span style="font-weight: 400">FIP and 8.4 K/9 in 12 appearances (eight</span> <span style="font-weight: 400">starts) for Low-A Fort Wayne. BP’s Grant Jones sees a </span><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/prospects/eyewitness_pit.php?reportid=369"><span style="font-weight: 400">potential major-league future for Allen</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400">, but that’s still a long way from being realized.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400">Then there’s the Miley trade. Both the Red Sox and Mariners are off to good starts, but no thanks in part to the deal that sent Miley and Jonathan Aro to Seattle in exchange for Smith, who is out for the season, and Roenis Elias, who had a forgettable Sox debut. </span></p>
<h2><span style="font-weight: 400">Wade Miley </span></h2>
<p><b>2015: </b><span style="font-weight: 400">4.46 ERA, 3.78 FIP and 6.8 K/9 in 32 starts</span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400">The Red Sox knew what they were getting from Miley last season. This year, the left-hander has been far worse. Miley owns a 4.74</span> <span style="font-weight: 400">DRA and 4.82</span> <span style="font-weight: 400">FIP through 13</span> <span style="font-weight: 400">starts with the Mariners this season. He’s allowing home runs at a career-high rate (1.5</span> <span style="font-weight: 400">HR/9) and inducing ground balls at a career-low rate (45</span> <span style="font-weight: 400">percent). These numbers are all coming with Safeco Field as his home ballpark. As bad as Boston’s starting rotation has been, it wouldn’t be any better with Miley in the fold. </span></p>
<h2><span style="font-weight: 400">Jonathan Aro</span></h2>
<p><b>2015: </b><span style="font-weight: 400">6.97 ERA, 5.23 FIP and 7.0 K/9 in six games with Boston; 3.14 ERA, 2.42 FIP and 9.2 K/9 in 26 games with Triple-A Pawtucket; 2.82 ERA, 2.78 FIP and 7.7 K/9 in eight games with Double-A Portland.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400">Aro was a decent reliever throughout his MiLB career with the Red Sox, and he’s continued to be one for Triple-A Tacoma. The 25-year-old righty owns a 2.27</span> <span style="font-weight: 400">ERA and 3.81</span> <span style="font-weight: 400">FIP over </span>23 <span style="font-weight: 400">appearances, while posting a 6.3</span> <span style="font-weight: 400">K/9 and 2.3</span> <span style="font-weight: 400">BB/9. Pretty good, but nothing special. That’s who Aro is, and who he’ll continue to be, even if he works his way into a middle relief role in the majors.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400">The only other notable player the Red Sox lost in the offseason was Justin Masterson, but the Sox gladly let him walk in free agency after an ugly showing in 2015. This season hasn’t treated Masterson any better. He’s made five appearances (two</span> <span style="font-weight: 400">starts) for the Indianapolis Indians &#8211; the Pirates’ Triple-A affiliate &#8211; and owns a 5.17</span> <span style="font-weight: 400">ERA and 6.48</span> <span style="font-weight: 400">FIP. It’s safe to say he’s not due for any more post-Boston breakthrough seasons.</span></p>
<p><span>The Red Sox parted ways with numerous players throughout the organization last offseason. Overall, those players have met expectations in their new homes. What does that mean for the Sox? Ultimately very little given the way both offseason trades worked for the teams involved. Both the Red Sox and Padres benefited from the Kimbrel trade, while the Mariners and Sox have yet to get anything out of the Miley deal. Sometimes that’s how trades work. The fun part will be seeing what kind of players Margot and Co. develop into, while the Red Sox hope to get value out of Kimbrel and Smith for the next few years.</span></p>
<p><em>Photo by Gregory Fisher/USA Today Sports Images</em></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
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		<title>From BP: Craig Kimbrel Trade Analysis</title>
		<link>http://boston.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2015/11/14/from-bp-craig-kimbrel-trade-analysis/</link>
		<comments>http://boston.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2015/11/14/from-bp-craig-kimbrel-trade-analysis/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 14 Nov 2015 19:27:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Ben Carsley]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Articles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[From BP]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Carlos Asuaje]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Craig Kimbrel]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dave Dombrowski]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Javier Guerra]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Koji Uehara]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Logan Allen]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Manny Margot]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://boston.locals.baseballprospectus.com/?p=2884</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Red Sox didn't "win" the Craig Kimbrel trade, but that's ok. ]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>By Ben Carsley, Christopher Crawford, Dustin Palmateer and Bret Sayre</em></p>
<p>It is 2015, and every Major League Baseball trade must have a clear WINNER and LOSER to satiate Baseball Twitter’s need for first takes. Don’t worry about what either <em>team</em> needs. Just ask, what did Team A give up? What did Team B send in return? Did Team A give up more than Team B? Wow, Team A must be run by idiots.</p>
<p>Viewed through this lens, the Red Sox were absolutely hoodwinked by the Padres last night. They gave up two&#8211;two!&#8211;top-100 prospect types and two more lottery tickets for a relief pitcher. This is exactly what we were worried about when ol’ Star-Loving Dave Dombrowski took the reigns. Theo Epstein never would’ve made this deal. One imagines Ben Cherington becoming physically ill at the thought of this deal. There is indeed a new sheriff in Boston.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=27885">Read the rest at Baseball Prospectus</a>.</p>
<p><em>Photo by Matt Kartozian/USA Today Sports Images</em></p>
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